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Q2 FY2026

Palantir Q2 Crushes Estimates, Raises Full-Year Guidance on AI Demand Surge

Revenue surged 93% Y/Y to $1.935B, beating consensus by $122M, as U.S. commercial TCV hit a record $2.132B.

By Insight AnalyticsPublished Aug 3, 2026 · 2 min readSource: SEC 8-K Item 2.02 · About our coverage
Palantir’s Q2 revenue surged 93% Y/Y to $1.935B, driven by AI demand that pushed U.S. commercial TCV to a record $2.132B.
Palantir’s Q2 revenue surged 93% Y/Y to $1.935B, driven by AI demand that pushed U.S. commercial TCV to a record $2.132B.Photo by panumas nikhomkhai on Pexels

Palantir Technologies (NASDAQ: PLTR) delivered a quarter that makes 'beat' feel understated. Revenue hit $1.935 billion, 93% above the prior year and 6.7% above consensus estimates of $1.812 billion. Adjusted EPS of $0.41 cleared the $0.34 estimate by 19%. The company raised its full-year revenue guidance to $8.150–$8.158 billion, implying 82% Y/Y growth, and lifted its U.S. commercial revenue target to at least $3.424 billion, or 134% Y/Y growth.

The headline numbers are striking. The composition matters more. U.S. commercial revenue grew 149% Y/Y to $764 million, while U.S. government revenue rose 90% to $809 million. Total U.S. revenue of $1.573 billion grew 115% Y/Y and 23% sequentially. This is not a government-dependent story anymore: U.S. commercial now represents 39% of total revenue, up from 31% a year ago.

U.S. commercial revenue target raised to at least $3.424B, implying 134% Y/Y growth as AI deployments accelerate.
U.S. commercial revenue target raised to at least $3.424B, implying 134% Y/Y growth as AI deployments accelerate.Photo by Déji Fadahunsi on Pexels

The deal flow separates this quarter from a typical software beat. Palantir closed 220 deals worth at least $1 million, 98 deals of at least $5 million, and 73 deals of at least $10 million. Total contract value (TCV) booked reached $3.373 billion, up 49% Y/Y. The standout was U.S. commercial TCV at $2.132 billion, a record, up 153% Y/Y. U.S. commercial remaining deal value (RDV) hit $6.238 billion, up 124% Y/Y and 27% sequentially. These are expanding relationships and new logos, not one-off renewals.

Profitability scaled with revenue. GAAP operating margin reached 47%, up from 27% a year ago. Adjusted operating margin hit 62%, producing a Rule of 40 score of 155% (93% revenue growth plus 62% adjusted operating margin). GAAP net income was $1.062 billion, a 55% margin. Cash from operations was $1.216 billion, a 63% margin. Adjusted free cash flow was $1.220 billion, also a 63% margin. The company ended the quarter with $9.2 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term Treasuries.

Stock-based compensation was $265 million in the quarter, up from $160 million a year ago, representing 13.7% of revenue. That's down from 15.9% a year ago, so dilution is improving as revenue grows faster than equity grants. The diluted share count rose only modestly to 2.569 billion from 2.563 billion a year ago, suggesting buybacks or lower option exercises are offsetting new grants.

The guidance raise is the most telling signal. Q3 revenue guidance of $2.160–$2.164 billion implies 76% Y/Y growth at the midpoint, decelerating from Q2's 93% but still extraordinary. The full-year revenue raise to $8.150–$8.158 billion implies Q4 revenue of roughly $2.422–$2.434 billion, or about 72% Y/Y growth. The deceleration is baked in. The absolute dollar growth is accelerating: the company added $932 million in revenue Y/Y in Q2 and is guiding to add roughly $1.0 billion in Q4. This is not a company hitting a ceiling.

Whether the U.S. commercial TCV record translates into sustained revenue growth or reflects a pull-forward of demand is the key question. The 124% Y/Y growth in U.S. commercial RDV suggests the pipeline is still building, not exhausting. The raised U.S. commercial revenue guidance of at least $3.424 billion implies Q4 U.S. commercial revenue of roughly $960 million, or about 110% Y/Y growth. If that holds, Palantir will have grown U.S. commercial revenue at triple-digit rates for four consecutive quarters. This is not a cyclical spike; it is structural adoption of AI platforms by enterprises moving past pilots into production.

Coverage of Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) Q2 FY2026. Insight News is a publication of Insight Analytics. Coverage is informational, not investment advice.

Generated by AI from the SEC filing linked in the sidebar. Numbers and quotes are drawn directly from the source document. Spot an error? support@insightanalytics.io.